Monthly Review · Public preview
Iran Leads a Persistence-Driven Monthly Deterioration Review
Bootstrap period | Reviewed weekly deterioration | Weeks 01–05
Public read
M1 2026 was defined less by breadth than by persistence. Iran was the clearest sustained monthly sequence, Syria formed the strongest secondary recurring conflict arc, Venezuela produced the sharpest early-month governance rupture, and Pakistan emerged as the clearest late-month acute lead.
This public preview shows the main monthly reading. The complete version is available inside the DriftSignals Observatory, with full sequence logic, country continuity, evidence notes, confidence notes, and follow-up interpretation.
January 2026 in brief
- Lead case
- Iran
- Principal monthly cases
- 4
- Multi-week sequences
- 2
- Mechanism
- State repression / protest escalation
Observatory access
Full access opens the complete Monthly Review: monthly lead-case treatment, additional country sequences, persistence assessment, evidence notes, country continuity, confidence notes, and forward watchpoints.
Complete monthly record available in the Observatory