Monthly Review · Public preview
Iran Leads a War-Driven Monthly Deterioration Review
Bootstrap period | Reviewed weekly deterioration | Weeks 10–13
Public read
M3 2026 was defined less by one narrow domestic sequence than by a widening regional war. Iran was the clearest monthly anchor because it led W10, returned as a publication-grade case in W12, and remained the central driver of spillover cases from Iraq and Qatar to Lebanon. Lebanon emerged as the clearest end-month deterioration, while Cuba formed the month’s clearest non-war domestic sequence.
This public preview shows the main monthly reading. The complete version is available inside the DriftSignals Observatory, with full sequence logic, country continuity, evidence notes, confidence notes, and follow-up interpretation.
March 2026 in brief
- Lead case
- Iran
- Published country-weeks
- 14
- Recurring cases
- 3
- Mechanism
- Border / military escalation
Observatory access
Full access opens the complete Monthly Review: monthly lead-case treatment, additional country sequences, persistence assessment, evidence notes, country continuity, confidence notes, and forward watchpoints.
Complete monthly record available in the Observatory