Weekly Brief · Public preview
Senegal Leads a Selective Deterioration Week
A selective deterioration week led by Senegal, with additional publication-grade cases in Serbia and Albania.
Public read
This issue is best read as a selective deterioration week centered on protest, repression, and political legitimacy stress rather than armed conflict escalation. The analytical story of W07 is a Senegal-led coercive confrontation, a nationally resonant protest mobilisation in Serbia, and a clearly visible protest escalation in Albania, alongside a monitoring layer that continued to widen while also registering cooling-off movement.
Outside the lead case, W07 also produced publication-grade deterioration cases in Serbia and Albania, while the watch layer widened with five new entries and three cooling-off moves.
Feb 9–15, 2026 in brief
- Lead case
- Senegal
- Published cases
- 3
- Watch cases
- 22
- Mechanism
- State repression
Observatory access
Full access opens the complete Weekly Brief: lead-case treatment, additional published cases, watch-layer interpretation, evidence notes, country continuity, confidence notes, and next watchpoints.
Complete issue record available in the Observatory